First Round of TEA Statistics

The first in this series of studies on TEA statistics is an analysis on the length of consecutive cycle values. I wanted to see how long the signals typically last and if the numbers are the same on different time frames. The data includes 54 years of SPX history on the monthly and weekly time…


Traders must have a real edge

Do you know your edge? Have you recently tested it to make sure it’s still working? There are edges that work. I see them repeated on a weekly and monthly basis. There are edges that used to work — that don’t anymore. As a trader, you must know your edge. You must be able to…

2014-8-11 Play

Seasonality of SPY

Here are some charts that show the statistical seasonality of the S&P 500. Download the slides using the form below the video. Get a free copy of these charts.  


Get years of options trading experience in just a few hours

The fastest way to learn profitable options strategies is back testing. Back testing can save you months… even years of time spent on different ideas. Professional options trading has one key advantage over most other businesses: Technology allows you to go back in time and practice years of trading, in any market condition, in just a few…


How to Navigate Divergence on a Bounce

Your strategy for navigating the increased volatility is crucial to avoid getting caught up in chasing the extremes. Here’s what I’m looking at: 1) Find stocks/sectors ignoring the bounce. These offer opportunities to leg into short trades on the broad market bounce. Examples: DE and RAD. 2) Find stocks/sectors that didn’t sell off. Make sure…